New Massachusetts Senate Poll Suggests Support for Markey Is SlippingKatharine Seelye, New York TimesJune 10, 2013
BOSTON — Representative Edward J. Markey's lead over Gabriel Gomez, a Republican businessman and former member of the Navy SEALs, in the special Senate election in Massachusetts has slipped by 10 percentage points since May, according to a new poll, which suggests that Mr. Markey has lost support among women and independents.The poll, by Suffolk University, shows Mr. Markey with 48 percent support and Mr. Gomez with 41 percent among likely voters – a difference within the poll's margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The same poll in May showed Mr. Markey ahead by 17 percentage points. Some considered the May poll an outlier, as most other polls showed Mr. Markey with a smaller lead, though special elections are notoriously difficult in polling since turnout is so unpredictable.The new poll found that support for Mr. Markey had flagged just as concern about President Obama's handling of various controversies in Washington had grown. Mr. Obama is scheduled to campaign here for Mr. Markey on Wednesday.David Paleologos, the director of the Suffolk poll, said that since the White House controversies, "voters seem to be pulling back or pausing" on support for Mr. Markey's candidacy.