MEMORANDUMTO: RANDY HULTGREN
FROM: BRIAN C. TRINGALI KEVIN HUDAK
RE: HULTGREN LEAD GROWS AGAINST FOSTER IN CONGRESSIONAL RACE
DATE: OCTOBER 5, 2010
The Tarrance Group is pleased to present the following findings to the Randy Hultgren for Congress campaign. The Tarrance Group was commissioned to conduct a telephone survey of N=400 registered “likely” voters throughout Illinois’ Fourteenth Congressional District. A random sample of this type is likely to yield a margin of error of +4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases. Responses to the survey were gathered October 3-4, 2010. Republican challenger Randy Hultgren’s lead has grown to 6 points in his race against incumbent Democrat Bill Foster. Since our previous survey in September, Hultgren has increased his lead on the ballot from 3 points to 6 points. Turnout modeling suggests that Hultgren would receive 50% of the vote if the election were held today – even with third party candidate on the ballot.
Ballot for U.S. Congress
May Sept. Oct.
% % %
Randy Hultgren 45 42 44
Bill Foster 44 39 38
Doug Marks* -- 4 --
Daniel Kairis -- 2 4
Undecided 12 14 16
* Doug Marks failed to make the ballot.
And the Hultgren campaings presser,
Randy Hultgren Up By Six
ST. CHARLES – The Randy Hultgren for Congress campaign issued the following statement from campaign manager John Cooney regarding new poll numbers.
“For months, Bill Foster has tried to run from his record of lockstep support for Nancy Pelosi’s disastrous agenda. Instead of trying to defend his votes for the failed stimulus, Wall Street bailouts and nationalized health care, Bill Foster instead has polluted the airwaves with lies about Randy Hultgren. Bill Foster’s desperate and negative attacks have failed to fool Illinois voters. Despite weeks of negative attacks and distortions, Randy Hultgren now enjoys his largest lead in this race, and is poised to defeat Bill Foster in November. Illinois voters do not want a Congressman who votes in lockstep with Nancy Pelosi and the Democrat Congress. They are ready for real leadership in Washington.”