Russ Stewart: CULLERTON FACES FIASCO: REPUBLICANS POISED TO WIN ILLINOIS SENATE

He goes through the key districts but here's the one closest to me,

22nd District (Schaumburg, Streamwood, Elgin, West Dundee, Carpentersville): Irascible incumbent Democrat Mike Noland, who won in 2006 by 2,778 votes, getting 53.9 percent of the vote, has been a loyal Cullerton stooge, voting for tax, fee and pay hikes. He is an unabashed booster of a state income tax hike.

Republican divisions in Hanover and Schaumburg townships, coupled with rapid Hispanic growth around Elgin, turned the district marginal. It was held securely by Republican Steve Rauschenberger from 1992 to 2006, when he ran for lieutenant governor. But change is afoot. The well known Rauschenberger is running for his old seat, and Hispanics, who number 6 to 8 percent of the population, have failed to emerge as a potent force; Hispanics lost all races Elgin's 2009 election. Outlook: The Republicans are energized. Rauschenberger will get 56 percent of the vote.

Read him all here.