The security forces have failed to crush the opposition. Mr Mousavi is about to launch a broad political front to demand justice and democracy.
Mr Ahmadinejad has forfeited whatever support he had in parliament, has powerful enemies within the political establishment, and faces a severe economic downturn that could be compounded by yet harsher international sanctions next year if the deadlock over Iran’s nuclear programme persists.
He knows, however, that his fate and the Supreme Leader’s are now inextricably entwined. Mr Khamenei has supported Mr Ahmadinejad so robustly, and sacrificed so much authority to ensure and defend his re-election, that to jettison his wayward protégé now would almost certainly destroy both of them.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Mary Fletcher: Fall of President Ahmadinejad seems likely after brutal acts
I pray she's right.